Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 993.644033 1132.995672 1291.044481 1484.850605 1717.844758 1991.151409 2339.296366
2025-01-19 762.823262 933.202122 1145.327783 1433.551301 1822.483004 2340.497561 3102.901021
2025-01-26 679.885651 871.798620 1126.411838 1498.447300 2045.208975 2848.767378 4180.292569
2025-02-02 613.485080 815.607828 1097.382359 1533.819972 2222.228418 3323.416537 5354.440884
2025-02-09 559.435386 766.048902 1066.124251 1554.414609 2373.470568 3787.364430 6671.380155
2025-02-16 509.036725 713.965477 1021.761398 1543.717119 2466.591205 4170.425330 7982.680017
2025-02-23 479.767750 689.067356 1014.138628 1588.979443 2662.467174 4791.801018 10072.576131
2025-03-02 455.168020 668.002630 1008.887857 1635.752231 2869.098728 5494.245073 12730.144945
2025-03-09 427.840200 639.368661 987.082767 1648.349582 3010.208968 6098.764296 15500.036221
2025-03-16 399.162167 605.561084 952.304829 1630.783828 3084.287750 6570.882964 18197.995963
2025-03-23 381.193381 587.789535 943.175053 1660.734756 3267.398528 7377.776876 22667.317762
2025-03-30 353.180590 550.432449 895.074368 1605.642265 3244.897055 7629.585315 25271.513074
2025-04-06 327.860479 516.698284 852.083686 1559.055786 3243.142513 7972.461608 28769.210958
2025-04-13 304.008800 483.902078 808.126989 1505.414202 3215.946069 8242.976203 32334.931037
2025-04-20 297.262669 480.958799 820.157944 1574.474030 3519.431034 9705.753558 44403.107387
2025-04-27 287.416775 471.461037 818.342486 1612.192992 3750.144941 11052.213072 58675.631118
2025-05-04 276.727317 459.485590 810.293125 1634.156099 3943.238290 12377.233728 76360.528719
2025-05-11 263.704116 442.107660 789.575870 1622.746808 4035.215731 13355.883505 94209.498620
2025-05-18 257.177790 436.635065 792.894906 1671.031134 4327.667686 15420.805201 132746.693475
2025-05-25 251.136279 431.605578 796.588292 1720.954091 4642.913338 17863.602183 192582.334637
2025-06-01 242.519198 420.848327 786.884725 1734.404553 4839.188809 19871.546564 263631.113248
2025-06-08 232.070081 405.728047 766.282386 1715.649762 4916.069229 21284.661439 338580.793807
2025-06-15 226.039061 399.146742 764.134710 1747.630384 5194.990644 24244.538895 510322.667796